Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Freiburg
While Freiburg have been inconsistent this season, they have done well against sides in the bottom half of the table and will feel that this is a match from which they should take all three points. With just two wins all season, it is difficult to make much of a case for Darmstadt here, and we feel that they will suffer their 19th loss of the campaign in this match.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.02% . A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.37%) . The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (5.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Freiburg 22.28% ( 3.02) 21.7% ( 1.61) 56.02% ( -4.64)
Both teams to score 59.51% ( -0.91)
60.97% ( -3.39) 39.02% ( 3.38)
38.65% ( -3.65) 61.34% ( 3.64)
69.08% ( 0.86) 30.92% ( -0.86)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.79% ( 1) 67.21% ( -1)
86.15% ( -2.42) 13.84% ( 2.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 58.78% ( -5) 41.22% ( 5)
SV Darmstadt 98 22.28%
Freiburg 56.02%
Draw 21.7%
SV Darmstadt 98 Draw Freiburg 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.86) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.28% 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.65) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.7% 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.61) 0-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.66) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.64) 0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.62) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.32) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.4) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.38) Other @ 3.43% Total : 56.02%
How you voted: Darmstadt vs Freiburg
SV Darmstadt 98
Draw
Freiburg
32
rhs 2.0
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