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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 11.15am UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Ajax

PEC Zwolle
1 - 3
Ajax

Krastev (72')
Velanas (9'), Lam (38'), Vellios (71'), Garcia McNulty (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hlynsson (12'), Akpom (24', 84')
Mannsverk (50'), Vos (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax

 Only wins will do for Ajax from this stage onwards, yet we expect them to have to battle for maximum points here. Nevertheless, that is exactly what they need, and a hard-fought victory could stand them in good stead going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.03%) and 1-3 (4.91%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax
38.02% (0.234 0.23) 21.97% (0.15 0.15) 40.01% (-0.384 -0.38)
Both teams to score 69.5% (-0.592 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.51% (-0.76899999999999 -0.77)30.49% (0.769 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.22% (-0.925 -0.92)51.78% (0.925 0.92)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.236 -0.24)17.04% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.8% (-0.423 -0.42)47.2% (0.421 0.42)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.47399999999999 -0.47)16.23% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)45.73% (0.866 0.87)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 38.02%
    Ajax 40.01%
    Draw 21.97%
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.091 0.09)
1-0 @ 4.89% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.33% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 38.02%
1-1 @ 8.9% (0.172 0.17)
2-2 @ 7.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.77% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.34% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.16% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 40.01%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

PEC Zwolle
20.0%
Draw
15.0%
Ajax
65.0%
20
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 16
Ajax
2-2
PEC Zwolle
Brobbey (35', 48')
Berghuis (53')
Thy (60', 89')
Velanas (30'), Garcia McNulty (54'), Vellios (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ajax
3-0
PEC Zwolle
Tadic (30'), Klaassen (51', 80')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
0-2
Ajax

Redan (49')
Haller (29', 67')
Antony (26'), Gravenberch (51'), Mazraoui (78')
> Preview
Mar 14, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
PEC Zwolle
0-2
Ajax

Huiberts (62')
Neres (28'), Tagliafico (38')
Haller (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 12
Ajax
4-0
PEC Zwolle
Huntelaar (7'), Promes (11'), Antony (35'), Gravenberch (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446
> Eredivisie Full Table


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