Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
32.83% ( 0.01) | 27.26% ( -0.01) | 39.91% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.64% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.23% ( 0.05) | 55.77% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.1% ( 0.04) | 76.9% ( -0.04) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.31% ( 0.03) | 31.69% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.9% ( 0.03) | 68.1% ( -0.04) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% ( 0.02) | 27.34% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.2% ( 0.03) | 62.79% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.83% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
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