Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Clermont |
42.93% ( 0.35) | 25.14% ( -0.14) | 31.93% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 56.14% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.72% ( 0.56) | 47.27% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.5% ( 0.52) | 69.5% ( -0.52) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% ( 0.41) | 21.99% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.7% ( 0.61) | 55.3% ( -0.62) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% ( 0.14) | 28.03% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% ( 0.18) | 63.68% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |