Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.08%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.75%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
55.08% ( -5.3) | 20.2% ( 1.71) | 24.71% ( 3.59) |
Both teams to score 68.4% ( -1.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.17% ( -4.07) | 28.83% ( 4.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.23% ( -5.16) | 49.77% ( 5.16) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.22% ( -2.49) | 10.77% ( 2.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.22% ( -5.86) | 34.77% ( 5.86) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.23) | 23.34% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% ( 0.34) | 57.3% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.74) 3-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.4) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.77) 4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.54) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.55) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.58) 4-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.25) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.41) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.41) Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.08% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 1.12) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.2% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.85) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.84) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.62) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.88% Total : 24.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |