Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Sassuolo |
52.28% ( -0.36) | 23.76% ( 0.22) | 23.96% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.67% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.57% ( -0.8) | 46.43% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( -0.76) | 68.71% ( 0.76) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.26% ( -0.43) | 17.74% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.58% ( -0.76) | 48.42% ( 0.76) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( -0.31) | 33.54% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% ( -0.34) | 70.18% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.28% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 23.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |