Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
We said: Lecce 1-1 Udinese
There has only been one draw in the last 15 Serie A meetings between Lecce and Udinese at Via del Mare - and none since 2008 - but the evidence points to that outcome on this occasion: the Bianconeri are Italy's draw specialists, while their hosts are tough to beat on home turf.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.11% . A win for Udinese had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.43%) . The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood .
Result Lecce Draw Udinese 44.11% ( 1.1) 27.32% ( 0.15) 28.57% ( -1.26)
Both teams to score 47.72% ( -1.1)
42.62% ( -1.08) 57.38% ( 1.08)
21.8% ( -0.87) 78.2% ( 0.86)
74.14% ( 0.07) 25.85% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.17% ( 0.1) 60.82% ( -0.1)
64.36% ( -1.55) 35.64% ( 1.54)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.59% ( -1.63) 72.41% ( 1.63)
Lecce 44.11%
Udinese 28.57%
Draw 27.31%
Lecce Draw Udinese 1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.11% 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.31% 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.01% Total : 28.57%
How you voted: Lecce vs Udinese
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rhs 2.0
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