Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Bologna |
45.25% ( -0.93) | 25.24% ( -0.13) | 29.51% ( 1.06) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.26% ( 1.12) | 48.73% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.16% ( 1.01) | 70.84% ( -1.01) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.46% ( 0.05) | 21.54% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.39% ( 0.08) | 54.61% ( -0.08) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.59% ( 1.35) | 30.41% ( -1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.39% ( 1.58) | 66.6% ( -1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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