Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Salernitana |
76.79% ( 0.01) | 14.46% ( -0) | 8.74% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.36% | 33.64% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.54% ( -0) | 55.45% ( 0) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.81% ( 0) | 7.18% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.9% ( 0) | 26.1% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.34% ( -0.01) | 45.65% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.54% ( -0) | 81.45% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.83% 4-0 @ 6.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.15% 5-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.52% 6-1 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.3% Total : 76.79% | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.91% Total : 14.46% | 1-2 @ 2.66% 0-1 @ 2.57% 0-2 @ 1.01% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.59% Total : 8.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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