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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta logo

Lecce
0 - 2
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-0)
De Ketelaere (48'), Scamacca (53')
Hateboer (25'), Bilal Toure (37'), Pasalic (44'), Toloi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Udinese
Monday, May 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Lecce 1-2 Atalanta BC

Atalanta have posted three wins from their last four away matches in Serie A, and they can continue in that vein this weekend. With no time to dwell on events in midweek, the Europa League finalists should prove too strong for Lecce, who have improved under new management but remain vulnerable at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
26.86% (1.05 1.05) 26.31% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 46.83% (-1.115 -1.11)
Both teams to score 49.51% (0.662 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (0.447 0.45)54.52% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (0.369 0.37)75.88% (-0.376 -0.38)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52% (1.126 1.13)35.48% (-1.133 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (1.15 1.15)72.24% (-1.156 -1.16)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.32300000000001 -0.32)23.27% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.47000000000001 -0.47)57.19% (0.463 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.86%
    Atalanta BC 46.82%
    Draw 26.31%
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.46% (0.219 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 26.86%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 12.03% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.78% (-0.325 -0.32)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.82%

How you voted: Lecce vs Atalanta

Lecce
10.5%
Draw
15.0%
Atalanta BC
74.4%
133
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-0
Lecce
Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')
Feb 19, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
1-2
Lecce
Hojlund (87')
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Lecce
2-1
Atalanta
Zapata (40')
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 26
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta382161172423069
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina381791261461560
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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