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Nashville
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Montreal Impact

Nashville
4 - 1
Montreal

Surridge (11', 47', 82'), Zimmerman (20')
Godoy (57'), Muyl (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zimmerman (64' og.)
Piette (29'), Wanyama (90'), Zouhir (90+8'), Zouhir (97+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal

The return of Zimmerman should drastically improve the Nashville backline, but even without him, we believe they will be able to shut down a Montreal attack missing plenty of key pieces and who tend to sustain a lot more pressure away from home, something the Boys in Gold can take advantage of. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawCF Montreal
55.21% (-1.424 -1.42) 23.15% (0.309 0.31) 21.64% (1.109 1.11)
Both teams to score 53.68% (0.631 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68% (0.040999999999997 0.04)46.32% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)68.6% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.483 -0.48)16.63% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (-0.868 -0.87)46.47% (0.862 0.86)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.4% (1.12 1.12)35.6% (-1.126 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (1.141 1.14)72.37% (-1.146 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 55.21%
    CF Montreal 21.64%
    Draw 23.15%
Nashville SCDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 55.21%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.238 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.64%

How you voted: Nashville vs Montreal

Nashville SC
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
CF Montreal
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Mar 12, 2023 1.30am
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Gameweek 32
Montreal
0-1
Nashville
Bassong (44')
Williams (41'), Anunga (58'), Willis (85')
Jun 27, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Nashville
1-1
Montreal
Danladi (90+4')
Lovitz (89')
Struna (63')
Camacho (33'), Toye (42'), Miller (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
12Orlando City123451420-613
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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