Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
66.44% ( -0.06) | 18.35% ( 0.1) | 15.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.27% ( -0.6) | 34.73% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.31% ( -0.68) | 56.69% ( 0.68) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.28% ( -0.18) | 9.71% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.64% ( -0.42) | 32.36% ( 0.41) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.27% ( -0.44) | 35.73% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.5% ( -0.46) | 72.5% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.4% Total : 66.44% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |