Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Levi's Stadium
Earthquakes3 - 1Los Angeles
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Los Angeles FC
Both teams have had their defensive woes of late, and we expect neither to come away with a clean sheet here. We are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
40.37% ( 0.13) | 26.33% ( -0.01) | 33.29% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
